#Vitalik speculates on how to get #prediction-markets out of the “dopamine value” rut that #Polymarket and #Kalshi have apparently fallen into, because he thinks that even if separating fools from their money is profitable, it probably isn’t profitable enough, so we should try for hedging. And Matt Yglesias suggests capping sports betting percentages.
discussion of the new #OpenAI contract to power the autonomous #weaponry and mass surveillance of the #USA Department of War, following #Anthropic’s rejection of the DoW’s demands, and how OpenAI’s FAQ on the subject is misleading
overview of the #Anthropic #weaponry situation including quoted opinions from many opiners, as of Feb 25.
adorable tiny bat #video
discussion of Honda canceling its #EVs and, largely, #Norway’s 96%-EV new car market
an URL shortener that still works now that is.gd is broken
today's #news about the war on #Iran, reporting that the WSJ is reporting that, “Russia has been expanding its intelligence sharing and military cooperation with Iran, providing satellite imagery and improved drone technology to aid Tehran’s targeting of US forces in the region.” #politics
#Iran #news: “Pakistan tanker crosses #Hormuz after oil payment made in Chinese yuan: Mushahid” (permitted through Iran’s blockade). “Senator Mushahid Hussain Sayed has claimed that Iran allowed Pakistan’s oil tanker “Karachi” to pass through the strategic Strait of Hormuz after the shipment was paid for in Chinese currency.” Carrying Das crude from Abu Dhabi.
#Ukraine war atrocities by Russian troops in 02022. #human-rights
#news: #Dalio predicts #USA losing to #Iran over the Strait of #Hormuz.